Doron Peskin
Published:  10.04.09, 08:16 / Ynet

El Jefe de la Organización Árabe del Trabajo advierte sobre el aumento de las tasas de despido en los estados del Golfo, y que las proyecciones de desempleo pueden resultar peligrosas para algunos gobiernos de la región. Los expertos definen la sombría situación de empleo en muchas naciones Oriente Medio como una "bomba de tiempo" ,para algunos de los regímenes de la región específicamente.

Las proyecciones futuras en cuanto a las perspectivas del mercado de trabajo, como se señaló en una conferencia de la Organización Árabe del Trabajo, celebrada esta semana en Jordania, fueron deprimentes. Luqman Ahmed, director general del grupo, predijo que en el 2009 y 2010 se puede llegar una cifra de entre 3.6 millones a 5 millones de árabes sin empleo.
  
Según Luqman, la tasa de desempleo en el mundo árabe puede alcanzar el 17% a finales de 2010 - que abarca 22 millones de personas.
Parte de las limitaciones financieras que afectan a las naciones árabes - especialmente a los más pobres, como la de Egipto, Siria, Jordania y Marruecos - es el hecho de que la transferencia de divisas por parte de los trabajadores árabes en el extranjero - han disminuido.

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Unemployment in Arab world a 'time bomb'
Head of Arab Labor Organization warns of growing layoff rates in Gulf states, says staggering unemployment projections may prove perilous to some of region's governments
Doron Peskin
Published:  04.10.09, 08:16 / Ynet

The global financial crisis has had a serious effect on job demands in the Arab world, as experts define the bleak employment situation in many Mideast nations as a "ticking time bomb" for some of the region's regimes.
 
Future projections as to the job market's prospects, as noted in an Arab Labor Organization conference held in Jordan this week, were dismal. Ahmed Luqman, director general of the group, predicted that 2009 and 2010 may see as many as 3.6 million to 5 million Arabs become unemployed.
 
According to Luqman, unemployment rates in the Arab world may reach 17% by the end of 2010 – spanning 22 million people.
 
Data presented at the Amman conference indicated that job demands in the Arab world are likely to drop by 14% in 2009, especially in the business and banking sectors.
 
The Arab world in general and Persian Gulf states in particular, also employ 16 million foreign workers, mostly form Asia. According to recent reports, a large percentage of foreign workers have already lost their jobs.
 
Part of the financial constraints affecting Arab nations – particularly to poorer ones, the likes of Egypt, Syria, Jordan and Morocco – is the fact that foreign currency transfers, much of which it due to money wires by Arab workers stationed abroad – have dropped.
 
In 2008, foreign currency transfers came to 24 billion dollars, most of which were funneled towards the development of local markets and real estate projects. The noted drop in income – and the one still expected – is likely to prove detrimental to the Arab world's growth rates in the near future.
 
Doron Peskin is head of research for Info-Prod Research (Middle East) Ltd .

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