Doron Peskin
Published: 31.03.09, 11:59 / Ynet
La tasa de crecimiento en 2009 de los países árabes podría ser inferior al 4%, según estimaciones en una conferencia en Dubai. Sin embargo, los estados del Golfo serán capaces de superar la crisis debido a las altas reservas de divisas acumuladas en el año 2008, las pérdidas como consecuencia de la crisis financiera mundial se sitúan en $ 3 billones.
Esta tasa de crecimiento relativamente baja aumentará la presión sobre las economías árabes, ya que sus tasas de desempleo se estiman hoy en alrededor del 14%.
Adnan al-Qasar, presidente de la Cámara de Comercio, Industria y Agricultura de los países árabes, declaró que el mercado de capitales árabes ha perdido unos US $ 2,5 billones como resultado del fracaso en las inversiones en los mercados extranjeros. Los mercados de capital locales perdieron otros $ 600 billones como consecuencia de la crisis mundial y la caída de los precios del petróleo.
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Following crisis: Arab world loses $3 trillion
Arab countries' growth rate in 2009 to be lower than 4%, according to estimates voices at a financial conference in Dubai. However, Gulf states will be able to overcome crisis due to high foreign currency reserves accumulated in 2008
Doron Peskin
Published: 03.31.09, 11:59 / Ynet
The Arab world's losses as a result of the global financial crisis stand at $3 trillion, according to estimates voiced during a financial conference in Dubai.
The conference speakers sounded pessimistic in regards to the year of 2009, estimating that the Arab states' growth rate this year would be lower than 4%.
This relatively low rate will increase the pressure on Arab economies, as their unemployment rates are estimated today at about 14%.
Adnan al-Qasar, president of the Arab countries' Chamber of Commerce, Industry and Agriculture, declared that the Arab capital market lost some $2.5 trillion as a result of failed investments in foreign markets. Local capital markets lost another $600 billion as a result of the global crisis and the drop in oil prices.
Al-Qasar estimated, however, that the Arab countries, led by the Gulf states, would be able to overcome the crisis due to the high foreign currency reserves they accumulated in 2008. The reserves collected by the six Gulf countries were estimated at some $1.5 trillion at the end of 2008.
Many of the conference's participants said that the obvious conclusion from the crisis was that Arab businessmen should invest their money in local markets, rather than expose themselves to unnecessary risks abroad.
Doron Peskin is head of research at Info-Prod Research (Middle East) Ltd.
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